AI Governance & Strategy Researcher; Expert in Long-Term Risk & Transformative Technologies; Leading Analyst on AI Timelines

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Daniel Kokotajlo Biography

Daniel Kokotajlo is a researcher and forecaster recognized for his work on advanced artificial intelligence, long-term risk, and the dynamics of transformative technologies. Specializing in AI governance and strategy, Kokotajlo has developed analyses on how rapidly advancing AI systems could impact economies, institutions, and global security. His research is referenced in discussions about AI timelines, takeoff scenarios, and the strategic implications of highly capable machine learning systems.

Across research roles at organizations focused on AI and effective altruism, Kokotajlo has built quantitative models and decision frameworks to assist policymakers, philanthropists, and technical leaders in addressing high-stakes uncertainty. He has authored essays and technical memos exploring topics such as the potential speed of AI development, default alignment of powerful systems, and governance structures required to manage advanced capabilities. His work combines formal modeling with accessible explanations for a range of audiences.

Kokotajlo participates in online forums, working groups, and workshops dedicated to AI alignment and existential risk. He is known for presenting probability estimates and scenario analyses in formats understandable to non-specialist audiences, contributing to seminars, panel discussions, and policy briefings. Through his written and spoken contributions, Kokotajlo has influenced how practitioners and observers conceptualize the challenges and opportunities presented by frontier AI.

Kokotajlo has addressed the challenges of reasoning under deep uncertainty, including the potential for error in key assumptions. By revising his views in response to new evidence, he demonstrates the intellectual humility and skepticism necessary for responsible work on issues with limited data and significant consequences. This approach supports his credibility with technical experts and broader audiences interested in the future of artificial intelligence.

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Speaker profile last updated by AAE Talent Team on 12/19/2025.

Daniel Kokotajlo Videos

Interview on Superintelligent Robot Economies | Daniel Kokotajlo

Interview on Superintelligent Robot Economies | Daniel Kokotajlo

When Daniel Kokotajlo talks to security experts at major AI labs, they tell him something chilling: “Of course we’re probably penetrated by the...

Discussion on AI Catastrophe Scenarios | Daniel Kokotajlo

Discussion on AI Catastrophe Scenarios | Daniel Kokotajlo

On this episode, Daniel Kokotajlo joins me to discuss why artificial intelligence may surpass the transformative power of the Industrial Revolution,...

Podcast on Superintelligent AI Risks | Daniel Kokotajlo

Podcast on Superintelligent AI Risks | Daniel Kokotajlo

You can watch the full episode—and all full-length episodes of the Making Sense podcast—on YouTube by becoming a channel member here:...

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  • What topics does Daniel Kokotajlo speak about?

    Daniel Kokotajlo is a keynote speaker and industry expert whose speaking topics include Artificial Intelligence, Leadership, Technology, Thought Leadership
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Daniel Kokotajlo is a keynote speaker and industry expert who speaks on a wide range of topics. The estimated speaking fee range to book Daniel Kokotajlo for your event is available upon request. Daniel Kokotajlo generally travels from and can be booked for (private) corporate events, personal appearances, keynote speeches, or other performances. Similar motivational celebrity speakers are Michael Running Wolf, Pat Pataranutaporn, Jared Kaplan, Anton Korinek and Dr. Benjamin Harvey. Contact All American Speakers for ratings, reviews, videos and information on scheduling Daniel Kokotajlo for an upcoming live or virtual event.

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